Handbook of Eurasian Political Economy
Покупка
Тематика:
Общая экономическая теория
Издательство:
Аспект Пресс
Год издания: 2022
Кол-во страниц: 316
Дополнительно
Вид издания:
Справочная литература
Уровень образования:
Дополнительное образование
ISBN: 978-5-7567-1254-4
Артикул: 807492.01.99
The handbook summarizes two decades of research conducted at MGIMO University and its partner institutions into the economic and political dynamics unfolding in and between the countries of post-Soviet Eurasia. The ability of post-Soviet Eurasian states to reap benefits from economic interdependence and internationalization was limited by the peculiarities of their systems of political and economic governance. The impact of politics on business, trade, and finance in post-Soviet Eurasia is at the focus of this handbook.
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HANDBOOK OF EURASIAN POLITICAL ECONOMY Edited by Alexander Bulatov and Egor Pak Moscow 2022
УДК 338 ББК 65.01 Published with support of the Priority 2030 Strategic Academic Leadership Programme РЕ Ц Е Н ЗЕ Н Т Ы Доктор экономических наук, профессор, декан экономического факультета и зав. кафедрой международных экономических отношений РУДН И. В. Андронова. Доктор экономических наук, доцент, зав. кафедрой мировой экономики РГГУ Е. В. Зенкина Handbook of Eurasian Political Economy / Edited by Alexander Bulatov and Egor Pak. Moscow: Aspect Press Ltd., 2022. — 316 p. ISBN 978-5-7567-1254-4 The handbook summarizes two decades of research conducted at MGIMO University and its partner institutions into the economic and political dynamics unfolding in and between the countries of post-Soviet Eurasia. The ability of post-Soviet Eurasian states to reap benefits from economic interdependence and internationalization was limited by the peculiarities of their systems of political and economic governance. The impact of politics on business, trade, and finance in post-Soviet Eurasia is at the focus of this handbook. УДК 338 ББК 65.01 © MGIMO University, 2022 ISBN 978-5-7567-1254-4 © Aspect Press Ltd., 2022
Table of Contents EDITORS’ INTRODUCTION5 PART I. ECONOMIC SYSTEMS AND POLICIES Chapter 1. Economic System and Policy of Russia Alexander Bulatov 10 Chapter 2. Economic System and Policy of Kazakhstan Egor Pak27 Chapter 3. Economic System and Policy of Belarus Yuri Kvashnin......................................................................................................................43 Chapter 4. Big Business in Ukraine Yuri Kvashnin......................................................................................................................64 PART II. STATE–BUSINESS RELATIONS IN POST-SOVIET EURASIA Chapter 5. State and Big Business in Russia Alexander Bulatov. ............................................................................................................82 Chapter 6. Economic Policy Towards Small and Medium Enterprises in Georgia Kristina Nadashvili and Simon Nadashvili95 Chapter 7. State and Small and Medium Enterprises in Armenia: Changing Relations Marianna Ovakimyan and Sergey Abelyan.......................................................... 115 PART III. EURASIA’S INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY: KEY FACTORS Chapter 8. Political Economy of Foreign Trade in Post-Soviet Eurasia Andrey Spartak............................................................................................................... 134 Chapter 9. Structural Foundations of Eurasian Regionalism: Commonalities and Differences Irina Bolgova.................................................................................................................... 161 3
TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 10. Integration Trends in Post-Soviet Eurasia: Political Economy Aspects Galina Kostyunina.......................................................................................................... 176 Chapter 11. Political Economy of Sanctions Vladimir Osipov. .............................................................................................................. 197 Chapter 12. Impact of China’s Belt and Road Initiative on Post-Soviet Eurasia Denis Kalashnikov.......................................................................................................... 212 Chapter 13. Political Economy of Eurasian Energy Sector and Its External Relations Igbal Guliev and Yulia Solovova................................................................................ 230 PART IV. THE SOCIAL DIMENSION OF EURASIAN POLITICAL ECONOMY Chapter 14. Political Economy of State–Society Relations in Post-Soviet Central Asia Denis Elagin...................................................................................................................... 248 Chapter 15. Political Economy of Education in Post-Soviet Eurasia Igor Filkevich.................................................................................................................... 269 Chapter 16. Gender Aspects of Eurasian Political Economy Sofia Rebrey. ..................................................................................................................... 287 ABOUT THE AUTHORS. ...................................................................................................313
Editors’ Introduction T HIS handbook summarizes two decades of research conducted at MGIMO University and its partner institutions into the economic and political dynamics unfolding in and between the countries of post-Soviet Eurasia. United by post-Soviet legacies in political governance and business practices, these countries have pursued two major policy tracks in their mutual relations: maximizing benefits from economic interactions within post-Soviet Eurasia while diversifying trade counterparts and flows in search for markets and sources of investment far beyond their geographic regions. The ability of post-Soviet Eurasian states to reap benefits from economic interdependence and internationalization was limited by the peculiarities of their systems of political and economic governance. The impact of politics on business, trade, and finance in post-Soviet Eurasia is at the focus of this handbook. As of late 2022, the security landscape in Eurasia is undergoing rapid change with hardly unpredictable outcomes. The national economies of post-Soviet Eurasian countries as well as the modes of their interaction are being strongly affected. It may take several years for an equilibrium to be attained and for new trends to set in. The handbook, therefore, cannot serve as a guide to the future of Eurasian political economy. We believe, however, that it goes a long way towards exploring the political drivers of economic development and interactions across post-Soviet Eurasia since the start of the new millennium. Many of the patterns described in the handbook are likely to persist beyond 2022, while some will be upended during the turbulent transition to a new regional political and economic order. The handbook consists of 16 chapters dissecting the economic systems and policies of the largest post-Soviet republics in Eastern Europe, South Caucasus, and Central Asia, analyzing the patterns of relations between the governments and the private sector, economic integration issues, and trade flows — as they were impacted by conflicts, economic sanctions, and other political controversies over the decade since 2014. 5
EDITORS’ INTRODUCTION Part I of the Handbook focuses on the economic systems and polices of the largest post-Soviet Eurasian states. Alexander Bulatov introduces the economic system of Russia and discusses the rationales, drivers, and principles underlying the key directions of Russian economic policy. He explains how and why the state in Russia came to dominate business activity both at the level of large corporations and small and medium-size enterprises. Egor Pak analyzes the structure of Kazakhstan’s economy in a comparative perspective. He argues that Astana’s effort to diversify the national economy away from hydrocarbons over the last decade has only been partially successful. He predicts mounting challenges for Kazakhstan post2022 in maintaining a balance between economic engagement with Russia, on one hand, and the West and China, on the other. Yuri Kvashnin explores the economic systems of Ukraine and Belarus. He explains the role that powerful competing business groups played in Ukrainian politics before 2022 and compares the whole gamut of perspectives on the evolution and current state of Belarus’ economy — from those emphasizing its lack of viability to those praising the country’s economic governance as ingenious and corresponding fully to the country’s geopolitical predicament. The chapters of Part II analyze the patterns of state-business relations in post-Soviet Eurasia. Alexander Bulatov argues that in Russia relations between state and big business have been unequal because the state has been reserving the role of a senior partner while treating the big businesses is junior partners. That said, the group of junior economic partners of the state has been heterogeneous and has included not only private, but also state and quasi-stateowned (parastatal) enterprises. Kristina Nadashvili and Simon Nadashvili describe the main measures undertaken by the government of Georgia to support small and medium-sized enterprises. A free and competitive economy cannot exist without strong small and medium-sized businesses, that is why supporting them has been one of the Georgian government’s longstanding priorities. Some of the measures have had spectacular success, as illustrated by the case of a Georgian winemaking company. 6
EDITORS’ INTRODUCTION Marianna Ovakimyan and Sergey Abelyan look at the evolution of the government regulation of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises in Armenia. She also traces the ongoing change in the structure of such businesses in the country. Part III provides conceptual perspectives on a variety of key factors shaping economic interactions within post-Soviet Eurasia. Andrey Spartak provides a quantitative and qualitative overview of the political economy of foreign trade in post-Soviet Eurasia by comparing intra-regional and cross-regional flows. Foreign trade flows are said to be the cornerstone of the initial capital accumulation in the region, perpetuating a resource-oriented structure of the economy. Spartak argues that the preferential trade arrangements that exist with the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) may cushion the blow to the Russian economy dealt by the new round of economic sanctions in 2022. Irina Bolgova examines domestic and international sources of the remaining economic interdependence and regionalism in parts of Eurasia. Galina Kostyunina looks to enrich the theoretical discourse on the nature and motive forces of post-Soviet integration. She considers the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) as a breakthrough integration format that has brought tangible economic results to its founders. However, diverging geopolitical agendas, low levels of economic interdependence, and sovereignty concerns remain the key persistent hurdles to deepening and expanding the EAEU. Vladimir Osipov investigates the political economy of sanctions in post-Soviet Eurasia. He argues that, from an historical perspective, economic sanctions in general and against Russia in particular have been a tool of protectionism while contributing little to international peace and security. Denis Kalashnikov discusses the implications of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) for the post-Soviet Eurasian economies. Beijing’s geoeconomics ambition is to establish China as a powerful economic force in Central Asia — sidelining Russia and the West. Nonetheless, the author concludes that Russia may still be able to offer a viable economic development policy alternative to China to some post-Soviet Eurasian states — should Russia’s own economic policy undergo a massive overhaul. 7
EDITORS’ INTRODUCTION Igbal Guliev and Yulia Solovova focus on the energy dimension of the political economy of resource-abundant post-Soviet countries — Russia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan. The authors admit that a global green energy transition would generate risks to these countries’ prosperity. However, each state in one way or another is already embarking on a low-carbon path. Part IV discusses important social issues arising from the peculiarities of the post-Soviet Eurasian political economy. Denis Elagin explores the political economy of state-society relations in post-Soviet Central Asia. In particular, his chapter looks at the impact of political institutions, social policy, inter-ethnic relations, and international migration. The chapter also addresses the role political repression which is widespread in the region and serves to political eliminate checks and balances constraints and ensure a semblance of political stability. Igor Filkevich examines the post-Soviet trends in education in post-Soviet Eurasia. While the СIS countries have been successfully consolidating national educational systems and ensuring their responsiveness to the government preferences, some key common legacies of these systems appear to have persisted. Sofia Rebrey explains why gender is an essential part of post-Soviet Eurasian political economy by looking at the interconnections between gender inequality and economic development. Her chapter recommends consistent gender equality policy to address important challenges posed by the ongoing geopolitical crisis. To sum up, this handbook’s holistic, albeit critical, findings might be of help to a broad audience of academics and policymakers who are looking for comparative analyses of the key aspects, trends, ideals, and realities of the political economy of post-Soviet Eurasia. This handbook is also recommended to graduate students of economics, politics, and management who explore post-Soviet Eurasia for cases to support their research projects.
Part I ECONOMIC SYSTEMS AND POLICIES
Chapter 1 Economic System and Policy of Russia Alexander Bulatov T HIS chapter examines the foundations of Russia’s economic system and its economic policy. An attempt is made to use a methodological approach to identify Russia’s specific features in comparison with the economic systems of developed countries and the rest of the post-Soviet Eurasia. The main directions of Russia’s economic policy are also analyzed. Finally, a medium-term forecast of the evolution of the country’s economic system and its economic policy is presented. Economic System of Russia: Methodological Aspects When analyzing the national economic system (national economic model), first of all, its specifics are identified that distinguish a given country from states, primarily neighbors, with a similar level of development. In this process special attention is paid to the ratio of forms of ownership in the country and the degree of independence of its economic agents [Baumol et al.2007; Hall, Soskice 2001), as well as the impact on the country’s economic system of its political, social and cultural systems, most notably the institutions that form these systems [Shaw et al. 2019]. Different sets of indicators can be used to analyze a country’s economic system by independently selecting them from national and international statistics. Among ready-made sets of indicators, probably one of the best is included in the annual Global Competitiveness Report by the international non-governmental organization World Economic Forum (WEF). The report is based on national statistics and surveys of local entrepreneurs in most countries of the world. It is aimed at assessment of the Global Competitiveness Index presented in points, but a large number and representativeness of indicators (over 100) included in this index and grouped in 12 sub-indices, enables to reveal the specific features of national economic systems. Let us illustrate this by the example of 10