Анализ общественных явлений в 2016 году. Построение прогнозов

Издательство «Научный консультант» 

АНАЛИЗ ОБЩЕСТВЕННЫХ  
ЯВЛЕНИЙ В 2016 г.  
ПОСТРОЕНИЕ ПРОГНОЗОВ 

Сборник статей по материалам  
международной 
научно-практической конференции 
30 декабря 2016 г. 

Москва 
 2024 

УДК 338.27 
ББК 65.23 

  

А64 

      Анализ общественных явлений в 2016 г. Построение прогнозов: 
сборник статей по материалам участников международной научнопрактической конференции. Дата и место проведения: Москва 30 декабря 2016 г. - М.: Издательство «Научный консультант», 2024.- 72 с. 

ISBN 978-5-9909478-8-7 

Данный сборник содержит материалы международной научно-практической конференции «Анализ общественных явлений в 2016 г. Построение 
прогнозов», проведенной 30 декабря 2016 г. (г. Москва). Материалы, представленные в сборнике, отражают научно-практический взгляд на актуальные 
вопросы современной российской экономики. 
Сборник предназначается для научных работников, студентов и 
преподавателей высших учебных заведений, руководителей предприятий разных форм собственности, а так же может использоваться в качестве дополнительного учебного пособия в процессе обучения магистрантов и аспирантов  соответствующих направлений.  

УДК 338.27 
ББК 65.23 

Сборник научных статей участников конференции 
подготовлен 
по 
материалам, 
представленным в электронном виде. Ответственность 
за содержание материалов несут авторы.  

ISBN 978-5-9909478-8-7 
©  Коллектив авторов, 2016 
© Оформление. Издательство «Научный консультант», 2024 

СОДЕРЖАНИЕ 

 
Абрашкин М.С., Bogdan Mucea Instruments of state support of    
innovation activity development…..……………………………………...…4 
Болотин М.С. Становление московского княжества…………………….8 
Гаврилов Г.А. Формирование эффективного плана маркетинга 
коммерческого предприятия…….…………………………………….....13 
Данилова О.В., Козина И.Б. Нейропсихологический подход                     
к изучению связной речи детей среднего и старшего дошкольного 
возраста, проживающих в поликультурном регионе.…………………..22 
Житников Ю.Б. Практика развития экономического потенциала 
отечественного металлургического комплекса…………………………25 
Каневский А.И. Государственное финансирование российской 
авиационной промышленности……………………..................................30 
Кирова И.В. Малые инновационные предприятия в современных 
условиях………………………………………….......................................37 
Лукина Е.В., Мищенко С.Н. Востребованность выпускников            
СПО на рынке труда………………………………………………………43 
Неустроев А.А. Популяризация науки, как приоритетный фактор       
для достижения правительственных целей..…………………………….47 
Палин В.В Классификация субъектов российской федерации  по 
уровню развития рынка труда....................................................................50 
Свободин В. А., Косолапова М. В. Прогнозирование развития 
экономической системы на основе методического приема       
«сравнение с эталоном – догнать соседа».………………………………53 
Степанов А.А., Савина М.В., Степанов И.А. Теория управляемого 
хаоса и ее применение в менеджменте……………………….………….57 
Чурилов А.Д. Тенденции и проблемы деятельности российских    
банков в области противодействия легализации преступных 
доходов…………………………………………………………………….62 
Эдельштейн В. Механизм взаимодействия власти и общества в         
рамках работы с обращениями граждан...................................................65 
  
 
 

Абрашкин Михаил Сергеевич, 
Bogdan Mucea 
 
INSTRUMENTS OF STATE SUPPORT OF INNOVATION 
ACTIVITY DEVELOPMENT 
 
К.э.н., доцент МГОТУ 
 
Ph.D. student in Sociology 
Doctoral School of Sociology, University of Bucharest, Romania 
 
Abstract. This research is devoted to the study of the factors and 
tools, which support innovation. As an empirical basis is the industrial 
enterprises of Russia and Romania`s statistics. The study identifies the 
state`s main directions of the regulation of innovation and the innovation 
of policy`s priorities of building the state, which would become an impetus 
for the reorientation of the industrial enterprises. 
 
Keywords: innovation, government regulation of innovative development. 
 
Under these circumstances of unstable economic growth, industrial 
enterprises are experiencing a number of difficulties in catching up with 
breakthrough technologies and adapting to the actions of governments and 
central banks of the Russian Federation, complicating the situation of 
instability in exchange rates, limiting the consumption of military products 
abroad with the decline in oil prices (extremely important for Russia). It is 
needed a reorientation of views on the improvement of mechanisms of 
growth of industrial enterprises and the transition to a new economic 
model based on knowledge, innovation and high technology. 
Accelerating the introduction of high technologies in the industry 
should be a top priority for science and technology policy, an impetus for 
the sustainable development of the economies. The competitiveness of the 
economy largely depends on the competitiveness of high-tech enterprises, 
the activation of what can become the engine of GDP growth and lead to 
the transformation of the state`s territories in the international division of 
labor. Among the areas of state regulation of scientific and technical 
sphere are the following: 

• long-term and strategic directions of scientific and technological 
progress; 
• the creation of new sectors and industries; 
• radical development of new industries; 
• the coordination of capital flows of scientific and technical progress 
on the macro-level; 
• the stimulation of development and the struggle with the consequences of scientific and technological progress. 
Scientific and technological progress is essential for socio-economic 
development. Among the many positive results, we focus on two of them: 
1) With the introduction of scientific and technological progress in 
the production, its structure changes. The share of human labor is reduced 
and increases the proportion of agents and objects of labor, reducing the 
production cost and improving its quality (due to errors related to the human factor). This increases the competitiveness of its products abroad. 
2) The use of scientific and technological progress in the production 
becomes the leading factor in the growth of productivity and cost of labor, 
material, energy and other types of resources. 
Scientific and technological progress is a process that can manifest itself in the form of scientific progress (the process of updating knowledge) 
or in the form of technical and technological progress, in which there is a 
change in the character of used machinery and equipment. This process 
can develop in an evolutionary (progressive development of science and 
technology) and revolutionary one (scientific and technological revolution). 
Currently, there are several types of state science and technology policy: 
• active, moderate or passive; 
• protectionist in relation to the domestic scientific and technological 
complex and open to the international scientific research; 
• the focus policy on the existing scientific potential and on attracting 
foreign ideas and technologies; 
• of priority, with a strong fundamental, strategic and applied research R & D and implementation works. 
The innovations are presented in the form of new technologies, products and solutions, information, financial, economic, industrial, or of other 
nature [1]. Those who were not initially included in the terms of consumer 
innovation lead to positive externalities too and therefore receive some 

positive effect. Upon receipt of a widespread innovation ceases to be itself 
and becomes a wide production. An example would be the Internet network, where it’s originally purpose was to improve the reliability of information transmitted. The development in 1957 was used by the Agency for 
the US Defense Advanced Research Projects (DARPA), but now, after almost half a century, more than 1/3 of the world's population uses the Internet. 
For innovation, as the final results of scientific and technical progress, it is necessary a synchronous interaction of a number of processes 
that ensure their achievement and implementation of innovation. Public 
authorities should carry out activities aimed to expand the reproduction of 
high technologies. Among these measures are the following. 
1) The selection of high technologies, which can be in the current 
economic conditions, the demand abroad and which increase their 
competitiveness. 
2) Improving the tools selection process of priorities and their 
implementation within the framework of scientific, technical and industrial 
policies. 
3) Develop strategies for the introduction of high technologies and 
the harmonization of their areas of application in domestic enterprises. 
4) Create an effective national innovation system [2]. 
5) The development of the technological environment and its integration into the global community. 
6) Addition of scientific and technical infrastructure objects, transfer 
and diffusion of innovation. 
Aware of the fact that the economic development of Russia can no 
longer carry on the resource-the scenario requires pulling up scientific and 
technological development of a number of industries to competitive 
international levels. This is confirmed by the experience of a number of 
acts of Western countries, which show a high proportion of scientific and 
technical progress in the supplying of economic growth. It requires the 
creation, development and use of new technologies in the industry that 
would meet the challenges of our time. 
The development of the economy and the industry cannot be done 
without innovation, which also affects the non-production sphere, the one 
of material production and operation of the final products. Spreading 
innovation takes place in two stages. The first step is the creation and 
implementation of innovations, the second one it`s diffusion. 

Given the importance of innovative processes for the development of 
the economy, the state, as a management entity responsible for the conduct 
of the country's science and technology policy, is also developing 
measures for the country in a single innovation policy. 
State innovation policy - this is one of the areas of social and economic policy, which includes a set of economic, social, organizational, legal and other activities of the state in the science and technology field, 
aimed to the introduction of scientific and technical progress in the 
production, promotion and support of innovative processes in economy. 
Currently, in the world have formed three main models of scientific and 
innovative development of the country. The first model includes countries 
with a priority of leadership in science, focused on the implementation of 
large-scale targeted projects, covering all stages of the production cycle, 
and are usually focused on the scientific and information potential in the 
defense industry (USA, France, England). The second model includes 
countries that are ready to introduce the innovations and creation of 
favorable conditions for this kind of activities (Germany, Sweden, 
Switzerland). The third model includes countries in which innovations are 
stimulated by the development of the necessary infrastructure and are 
ready to improve coordination of a number of sectors in the fields of Science and Technology (South Korea, Japan). 
The economic growth of the country is largely determined by the 
speed of propagation of innovations and their implementation in the sphere 
of material production. The slow flow of these processes can have a negative impact on GDP growth and reduce the competitiveness of domestic 
goods, becoming a brake on economic development. Therefore, the state 
should regulate the incidence of innovation, in order to develop and improve mechanisms for the integration of high-tech industries in the global 
technological space and stimulate the processes of diffusion of innovations, which are the main factors in the development of industrial enterprises. 
To regulate the processes that affect the field of scientific and 
technological progress and the development of industrial enterprises, public authorities require an integrated approach to scientific, technical and 
production problems, as well as a sufficient amount of funds, since the 
implementation of large scale projects often do not like the power of private capital. Also, the company limits its intervention in the long payback 
periods of these projects and the high risk of non-repayment of the investment. Thus, the state can be seen as an institution that finances and man

ages scientific and technological progress, contributes to the spread of advanced scientific research and encourages the development of industrial 
enterprises. 
 
 
References: 
1. 
Dudin M.N., Lyasnikov N.V., Sekerin V.D., Veselovsky M.Y., 
Aleksakhina V.G. The problem of forecasting and modelling of the 
innovative development of social-economic systems and structures. Life 
Science Journal. 2014. Т. 11. № 8. С. 549-552.  
2. 
Lyasnikov N.V., Dudin M.N., Sekerin V.D., Veselovsky M.Y., 
Aleksakhina V.G.  The national innovation system: the conditions of its 
making and factors in its development. Life Science Journal. 2014. Т. 11. 
№ 8. С. 535-538. 
 
 
 
Болотин Михаил Сергеевич 
 
СТАНОВЛЕНИЕ МОСКОВСКОГО КНЯЖЕСТВА 
 
Московский государственный университет леса 
 
Аннотация: 
В статье представлен обзор становления Московского княжества со времен правления Даниила Александровича (1261 г. - 5 марта 
1303 г.) до Дмитрия Донского (1350-1389 гг.). В статье приведены 
основные вехи правления Даниила Александровича, Юрия Даниловича, 
Ивана Даниловича Калиты, Семена (Симеона) Ивановича Гордого, 
Ивана Ивановича Красного и Дмитрия Донского.  
Ключевые слова: Московское княжество, Даниил Александро
вич, Юрий Данилович, Иван Данилович Калита, Семен (Симеон) 
Иванович Гордый 
 
Bolotin Mikhail  

THE EMERGENCE OF THE MOSCOW PRINCIPALITY 

Moscow state Forest University 
 

 
Abstract: 
The article presents an overview of the formation of the Moscow 
Principality since the reign of Daniil Aleksandrovich (1261 г. - March 5